Connection with Oktoberfest is obvious




A medical face mask and an FFP-2 mask lie on the ground at a subway station near Theresienwiese, Munich.
Image: dpa

A connection with the Oktoberfest can hardly be proven at the moment, but it is obvious: There was also a significant increase in the incidences at other folk festivals about a week and a half after the start.

Ein a week and a half after the beginning of Oktoberfest the corona numbers in Munich are increasing faster and faster. On a weekly basis, the incidence has risen by almost 77 percent to 424.9, according to figures from the Robert Koch Institute on Tuesday morning (as of 3:08 a.m.).

That is significantly more than the Bavaria-wide increase of 43.1 percent or the German increase of 29.4 percent. The incidence is the number of those detected Corona new infections per 100,000 people within seven days.

Since the health authorities report practically no new cases to the weekends RKI report that this can be included in the figures for the next morning, Tuesday is usually the first day of the week on which there are significant increases in the incidences.

Connection with Oktoberfest is obvious

A connection between the increase and the Oktoberfest can hardly be proven at the moment, but it is obvious: there was also a significant increase in the incidences at other folk festivals around a week and a half after the start. Often these were then increased for a good week. Experts had also predicted a Wiesn wave in the run-up to the Oktoberfest.

In the meantime, however, the incidence figures have lost some of their meaningfulness. For some time now, experts have been assuming a high number of people not recorded by the RKI corona Cases out – mainly because by far not all infected people have a PCR test done. Only positive PCR tests count in the statistics. In addition, late registrations and transmission problems can lead to the distortion of individual daily values.



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